That the DARPA Chief died before the events of the game. Snake's hallucination showcases this (the conversation between Liquid, Ocelot, and Psycho Mantis), and Liquid implies this twice when Snake first meets him in the Torture Room.
During either of those two points, Snake SHOULD have put two and two together.
It should have been pretty obvious to Snake (MGS1 spoilers)
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Re: It should have been pretty obvious to Snake (MGS1 spoilers)
yes I agree with your reasoning